Category Archive: 'News'

GE insights 2

Here are the General Election results for the 2010 and 2015 elections, together with the candidate list for today. Interesting issues regarding Gedling: (1) Those additional 5000+ Lib Dem voters who appeared only in 2010 (the 2015 figure is in line with their ‘usual’ vote) did not apparently go to Labour in 2015 after their […]

General Election day insights

Some initial thoughts based on insights from my constituency – one that matters immensely for this election. Two campaigners knocked on my door yesterday, one Tory one Labour. I live in Gedling – the top Labour marginal seat on the Tories’ hit-list in the East Midlands. But the small suburb in which I live is […]

Election – Gedling constituency

Quick update. I’ve been looking at the last few general election results for my constituency (Gedling). It was once a Tory stronghold but went Labour in the landslide of 1997 and has remained that way ever since. However, in 2010 and 2015 it became classed as a marginal seat, and is understood to be the […]

Voting: attitudes into choices

I know I promised part 2 of my final report summarising how attitudes towards European principles are turned into discrete votes. (1) This model has proved more powerful than my wildest dreams; (2) The Media and politicians have shown zero interest in it. I have therefore decided that I shall not be publishing the final […]

REMAIN now a majority. Corbyn could be too

REMAIN would win new EU referendum by 51.1% due to an extra 3.5 million voters who never turned up in 2016.    – Hard BREXITEERs are going soft and non-voters want a rerun. The irony is by ruling it out Labour may guarantee hard BREXIT.   Labour’s chances in the general election have been written […]

Well they’re not ready for choice models yet

I gave it my best shot. Got a lot of interest from a senior Labour figure. But today Labour published its strategy for BREXIT. There is still, at its heart, the complete lack of understanding of what the Single Market is. The EU-27 require it to include free movement of people. Yet Labour still think […]

UK European attitudes discussed

I’m aware that a lot of people are going to get riled up over my report showing UK attitudes towards European principles. I’m the messenger, I merely report on what’s going on “out there”. And it’s a profound change toward a free trade area (only). Immigration policy cannot favour Europeans (except in the East Midlands – […]

Euro attitudes show need for old Labour

The report (part 1 – attitudes) of the survey involving n=944 respondents from the pureprofile survey is now released: TF_CHOICES_EU-favourability_report1_2017_04_22_wmark It starts with the two press releases, then an executive summary, then the report plus appendices. It shows: Freedom of movement that prioritises European citizens over others is now disliked in all but one English […]

East Midlands is the only English region to be pro-European-immigration.

…..But East Midlanders also hate funding Brussels. Full press release: East Midlands is the only English region to be pro-European-immigration.    But East Midlanders also hate funding Brussels.   A choice model – a Nobel-Prize-winning form of survey – has given far greater insights into national attitudes toward and preferences for Europe, including the finding […]

Labour writes second longest suicide note in history.

But this time for ignoring its roots and allowing full immigration. Full report to be published 6pm BST Sunday 23rd April 2017. Press release follows:   Labour writes second longest suicide note in history. But this time for ignoring its roots and allowing full immigration   A choice model – a Nobel-Prize-winning form of survey […]